The first week of the baseball season was a roller coaster ride as it pertains to the future bets outlined in my post on Opening Day Eve. In the end, the ups and downs will be par for the course. With a week in the books, here is where we stand:
Cardinals, Over 83 wins After one week, the Cardinals are on pace to win the most games in the National League in over 100 years. That's what a 5-2 opening week will do for you. They're on pace for 115 wins, so this one will be easy, right? Doubtful. For starters, they opened with a home stand against the Pirates and Astros, the two likely cellar dweller tomatoe cans of the division. Still, it was nice to see them get off to a good start. Riding a four-game winning streak, hopefully their winning ways will continue as they embark on their first round trip of the season. The rest of the month, the Cards play teams expected to compete for NL playoff spots. They good start was necessary given that backdrop. With three games in Arizona this week, followed by four big ones in Wrigley Field, over the weekend, I will be doing back flips if the Redbirds manage a winning week.
Projection: 115 wins. Result: Winner
Texas, Over 74 wins
The good: The resounding sweep of the Cleveland Indians to start the season. The bad: Dropping their next 2 games on the road to Detroit. The Ugly: The bullpen blowing a 4-run lead in the eight inning yesterday en route to being swept out of town by Detroit. Through it all, a 3-3 week has the Rangers on pace for 81 wins. Of course, we'll take that result, but we're counting the numner of games this pen blows for us. Really, somebody should a set a number and take bets, over or under, on how many games this pen blows a game. Anyway, Texas returns to Arlington this week for a pair of three-game series against Baltimore and Kansas City. I expect them to be in the same position next Sunday as they were yesterday: A win away from a winning week or a lose away from a .500 week.
Projection: 81 wins. Result: Winner
LA Dodgers to win the NL West
The Dodgers got off to a nice 4-3 start. If they keep putting winning weeks on the board, I am sure they'll take the NL West flag when its all said and done. As it stands today, however, the Dodgers are one game behind the San Diego Padres, who ended week one with a 5-2 record. If the Fathers end up being their primary competition, I am fine with that. I dont think San Diego has the horses for a six-month season. But, since LA is in second place, this projection has to be graded as loser today. LA finally gets some home games this week with consecutive series agasint division rivals San Francisco and Colorado. Hopefully being at home elads to more wins, not to mention springs Manny from an early season slump, at least by his standards.
Projection, second place. Result: Loser
Miguel Cabrera, Over 33.5 home runs
Through seven games, Miggy has gone yard three times, including a gran slam last Friday during the Tiger's home opener.. Check that, the Tigers just finished their matinee with the White Sox--a 10-6 loss-- and despite the offense, there was no long ball from Cabrera. Still, 3 dongs in the first eight games puts Miggy on pace to hit a smidge more than 60 this season. Cabrera can go homerless in Detroit's next six games--a stretch that takes them to the end of next Tuesday night's game in Anaheim--and still be on pace to exceeed the 33.5 home run mark. Let's hope he hits one or two between now and then so we can stay well ahead of pace. He's going to have a monster summer, so I feel this early power surge is some pre-iciing on the cake, of sorts. He just missed a second homer during the home opener by inches. Hopefully, those aren't inches I'll regretfully remember come October.
Projection: 60 homers. Result, winner
Projected Record After Week 1: 3-1
Margin: +570
ROI: 47.5%
Each bet was 330 to win 300
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